Momentum & Pullback Breakout · Playbook 14

Pullback Breakout Patrick Wieland

Concepts and rules associated with Patrick WielandAn NQ momentum model combining 15-minute market context, 3-minute VWAP and EMA alignment, a breakout, and a four-plus-candle flag continuation.
FuturesIntraday
CONCEPT REFERENCE / Patrick Wieland
BOT OUTPUTBUY MODEL
NQ · 15m context · 3m entryPullback Breakout Strategy
Strategy Tester
SETUPVWAP + 4-bar flagTRIGGERFlag high breakSLFlag lowTPNext pivot
PLATFORM TARGETSBuilds in development
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01 / Strategy specification

Strategy rules.
Complete execution model.

Patrick Wieland's published strategy notes describe a momentum-first process rather than a blind level break. The 15-minute chart supplies the larger candle structure; the 3-minute execution chart uses VWAP, the 8, 21 and 51 EMAs, and MACD as a directional momentum filter. For a long, price should hold above VWAP, the EMAs should be visibly fanned in bullish order, and a clean breakout through a relevant level—such as the pre-market high—must show participation rather than immediate rejection. The entry is deliberately delayed: price pulls back or forms a flag for at least four candles while preserving the breakout level and preferably the 21 EMA, then the long triggers when a later flag candle breaks the previous candle's high. Structural risk sits below the flag low. Partial profit is set at the next pivot or resistance, with the remainder trailed while the 8/21 EMA structure stays intact. NQ is the primary contract because Patrick's public futures content and recent trading are repeatedly centered on Nasdaq during the New York morning.

MODEL MAP / Pullback BreakoutNQ breakout → 4-bar flag continuation long15m structure · 3m VWAP + 8/21/51 EMA fan · MACD bias · pivot objective
01Align above VWAP
02Hold 4+ bar flag
03Buy prior-high break

Strategy logic · entry, invalidation and objective map.

02 / STRATEGY TEST LAB

Backtest it.
Stress-test it.
Simulate it on prop.

Every test starts from the same NQ trade ledger. Inspect the performance first, then test robustness and apply the exact rules of your prop account.

365-DAY MODEL · AUG 2025–AUG 2026

Pullback Breakout Patrick Wieland

NQ · 15m context · 3m entry · New York first two hours

NET P&L+$15,353
PRIMARY ASSETNQ · E-mini Nasdaq-100 FuturesCME · New York first two hours

Patrick's published rules use a 15-minute chart for larger structure and a 3-minute chart with VWAP, 8/21/51 EMAs and MACD for momentum. His pullback-breakout lesson waits for a breakout and a multi-candle flag before buying a previous-candle-high break. NQ is used as the primary contract because his public futures material is repeatedly centered on Nasdaq; this does not imply that the method is exclusive to NQ.

Open research source ↗
Total P&L+$15,353
Return15.4%
Sharpe ratio4.50
Win rate52.9%
Max drawdown-$2,557 · 2.5%
Profit factor1.81

Equity curve

EQUITY · DRAWDOWN
Execution equity and drawdown chart.
Aug 2025NovFeb 2026MayAug 2026

Win/Loss analysis

Total trades172
Winning trades91
Losing trades81
Breakeven trades0
Average win$377
Average loss-$233
Largest win$599
Largest loss-$323

Risk & performance

Max consecutive wins6
Max consecutive losses10
Sortino ratio32.22
Recovery factor6.01
Average trade$89
Expectancy$89
Average favorable excursion$0
Average adverse excursion$0

Research status

Strategy rulesCoded
Research terminalReady
Research modelComplete

Access

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Research source

Patrick Wieland — The Pullback Breakout Setup. Source material and methodology documentation.

View reference
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